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Looking far in the Past: Revisiting the growth-returns nexus with non-parametric tests

Panopoulou, Ekaterini and Pittis, Nikitas and Kalyvitis, Sarantis (2006) Looking far in the Past: Revisiting the growth-returns nexus with non-parametric tests. .

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Abstract

In this paper we reexamine the linkages between output growth and real stock price changes for the G7 countries using a batttery of non-parametrric procedures to account for the impact of long-lagged observations. Wer find that correlation between growth and returns is detected at larger horizons than those typically employed in parametric studies. The major feedback emerge from stock price changes to growth within the first 6 to 12 months, but we show that significant feedbacks may last for up to two or three years. Our evidence also suggests htat the correlation patterns differ substantially between the countries at hand when the sectoral share indices are considered.

Additional Information:Department of Economics Working Paper Series N166/03/06
Keywords:real stock price changes, output growth, long-run covariance matrix
Subjects:Social Sciences > Economics
ID Code:295
Deposited By:Ms Sandra Doherty
Deposited On:05 Apr 2006
Refereed:No
URL:http://www.may.ie/academic/economics/, http://ideas.repec.org/s/may/mayecw.html

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