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Vulnerability analysis of future public water supply under changing climate conditions: A study of the Moy catchment, western Ireland

Hall, Julia and Murphy, Conor (2010) Vulnerability analysis of future public water supply under changing climate conditions: A study of the Moy catchment, western Ireland. Water Resources Management, 24 (13). ISSN 3527-3545

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Abstract

An application of the Water Evaluation and Planning tool Version 21 (WEAP21) is developed to analyse the vulnerability of the future public water supply in the River Moy catchment, western Ireland. The River Moy’s future hydrology is modelled using the WEAP21 integrated rainfall runoff module and an ensemble of statistically downscaled future climate series. This approach facilitates the identification of the most vulnerable future public water supplies without being constrained by the availability of historically observed streamflow records. The model is calibrated by linking the model-independent parameter estimation tool (PEST) with the hydrological model and verified by reproducing observed streamflow records. This research suggests an emerging vulnerability to water stress of the public water supply sector under the four modelled scenarios, for areas which currently have plenty of water available. These results present a basis for future planning and management of the Moy catchment and its water resources.

Item Type: Article
Keywords: Climate change; Ireland; PEST; public water supply; vulnerability assessment; water stress; WEAP21;
Subjects: Social Sciences > Geography
Item ID: 3012
Identification Number: 10.1007/s11269-010-9618-8
Depositing User: Julia Hall
Date Deposited: 23 Jan 2012 09:24
Journal or Publication Title: Water Resources Management
Publisher: Springer
Refereed: Yes
URI:

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