Upton, Maeve, Parnell, Andrew, Kemp, Andrew, Ashe, Erica, McCarthy, Gerard and Cahill, Niamh (2024) A noisy-input generalized additive model for relative sea-level change along the Atlantic coast of North America. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics. ISSN 0035-9254

Clarke, B, Thorne, Peter, Ryan, Ciara, Zachariah, Mariam, Murphy, Conor, McCarthy, Gerard, O'Connor, Paul, Eresanya, Emmanuel. O, Cahill, Niamh and Coonan, Barry (2024) Climate change made the extreme 2-day rainfall event associated with flooding in Midleton, Ireland more likely and more intense. Technical Report. Imperial College London, London.

Daly, Eoghan, Nolan, Glenn, Berry, Alan, Büscher, Janina V., Cave, Rachel R., Caesar, Levke, Cronin, Margot, Fennell, Sheena, Lyons, Kieran, McAleer, Aedín, McCarthy, Gerard, McGovern, Evin, McGovern, Joseph V., McGrath, Triona, O'Donnell, Garvan, Pereiro, Diego, Thomas, Rob, Vaughan, Louise, White, Martin and Cusack, Caroline (2024) Diurnal to interannual variability in the Northeast Atlantic from hydrographic transects and fixed time-series across the Rockall Trough. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 204. p. 104233. ISSN 09670637

McCarthy, Gerard, Plecha, Sandra, Charria, Guillaume, Simon, Amélie, Poppeschi, Coline and Russo, Ana (2023) The marine heatwave west of Ireland in June 2023. Weather, 78 (11). pp. 321-323. ISSN 0043-1656

McCarthy, Gerard and Caesar, Levke (2023) Can we trust projections of AMOC weakening based on climate models that cannot reproduce the past? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 381 (2262). ISSN 1471-2962

McCarthy, Gerard, Burmeister, K, Cunningham, Stuart A., Düsterhus, A., Williams, Frajka, Graham, J. A., Hodge, K. R., Holliday, N. Penny, Jackson, Inall M., Menary, M. B., Moat, B. I., Moffa-Sánchez, Paola, Oltmanns, M, Polton, J. A., Rabe, B., Robson, J. and Thornalley, D. J. R. (2023) Climate change impacts on ocean circulation relevant to the UK and Ireland. MCCIP Science Review. pp. 1-29.

Daly, E., McCarthy, Gerard and Ulthaman, A. (2023) Irish Ocean Climate and Ecosystem Status Report 2023. Chapter 03: Physical Oceanography. Technical Report. Marine Institute, Dublin.

Shoari Nejad, Amin, Parnell, Andrew, Greene, Alice, Thorne, Peter, Kelleher, Brian P., Devoy, Robert J. N. and McCarthy, Gerard (2022) A newly reconciled dataset for identifying sea level rise and variability in Dublin Bay. Ocean Science, 18 (2). pp. 511-522. ISSN 1812-0792

Michel, Simon L. L., Swingedouw, Didier, Ortega, Pablo, Gastineau, Guillaume, Mignot, Juliette, McCarthy, Gerard and Khodri, Myriam (2022) Early warning signal for a tipping point suggested by a millennial Atlantic Multidecadal Variability reconstruction. Nature Communications, 13 (5176). pp. 1-14. ISSN 2041-1723

Caínzos, V., Hernández-Guerra, A., McCarthy, Gerard, McDonagh, E.L., Cubas Armas, M. and Perez-Hernandez, M.D. (2022) Thirty Years of GOSHIP and WOCE Data: Atlantic Overturning of Mass, Heat, and Freshwater Transport. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (e2021G). ISSN 0094-8276

Hallam, Samantha, Josey, Simon A., McCarthy, Gerard and Hirschi, Joël J.-M. (2022) A regional (land–ocean) comparison of the seasonal to decadal variability of the Northern Hemisphere jet stream 1871–2011. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894

Harris, Elizabeth A., Marsh, Robert, Grist, Jeremy. P. and McCarthy, Gerard (2022) The water mass transformation framework and variability in hurricane activity. Climate Dynamics, 59 (3-4). pp. 961-972. ISSN 0930-7575

Beckers, Jean-Marie, Hansen, Bogi, Uotila, Petteri, Duplessy, Jean-Claude, Deshayes, Julie, Visbeck, Martin, Dias, Frederic, McCarthy, Gerard, van Sebille, Erik, Eldevik, Tor, Smedsrud, Lars H., Balino, Beatriz, Asbjørnsen, Helene, Cabral, Henrique, Estrada Miyare, Marta, Anderson, Leif G., Palmer, Tim, Walløe, Lars and Norton, Michael (2021) A sea of change: Europe's future in the Atlantic realm. Technical Report. EASAC – the European Academies' Science Advisory Council, Germany.

Worthington, Emma, Moat, Ben I., Smeed, David A., Mecking, J. V., Marsh, Robert and McCarthy, Gerard (2021) A 30-year reconstruction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation shows no decline. Ocean Science, 17. pp. 285-299.

Berx, Barbara, Volkov, Denis, Baehr, Johanna, Baringer, Molly, Brandt, Peter, Burmeister, Kristin, Cunningham, Stuart, de Jong, Marieke, de Steur, Laura, Dong, Shenfu, Frajka-Williams, Eleanor, Goni, Gustavo, Holliday, Penny, Hummels, Rebecca, Ingvaldsen, Randi, Jochumsen, Kerstin, Johns, William, Jónsson, Steingrimur, Karstensen, Johannes, Kieke, Dagmar, Krishfield, Richard, Lankhorst, Matthias, Larsen, Karin, Le Bras, Isabela, Lee, Craig, Li, Feili, Lozier, Susan, Macrander, Andreas, McCarthy, Gerard, Mertens, Christian, Moat, Ben, Moritz, Martin, Perez, Renellys, Polyakov, Igor, Proshutinsky, Andrey, Rabe, Berit, Rhein, Monika, Schmid, Claudia, Skagseth, Øystein, Smeed, David, Timmermans, Mary-Louise, von Appen, Wilken-Jon, Williams, Bill, Woodgate, Rebecca and Yashayaev, Igor (2021) Climate-Relevant Ocean Transport Measurements in the Atlantic and Arctic Oceans. Oceanography. pp. 10-11. ISSN 1042-8275

Caesar, Levke, McCarthy, Gerard, Thornalley, D.J.R., Cahill, Niamh and Rahmstorf, Stefan (2021) Current Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation weakest in last millennium. Nature Geoscience, 14. pp. 118-120. ISSN 1752-0894

Dempsey, Rebecca, Parnell, Andrew, McCarron, Pádraig and McCarthy, Gerard (2021) Excess Mortality in Dublin during the Covid-19 Pandemic: Using RIP.ie as a geographical source. Irish Geography, 53 (2). ISSN 0075-0778

Pugh, David, Bridge, Edmund, Edwards, Robin J., Hogarth, Peter, Westbrook, Guy, Woodworth, P. L. and McCarthy, Gerard (2021) Mean sea level and tidal change in Ireland since 1842: a case study of Cork. Ocean Science, 17. pp. 1623-1637. ISSN 1812-0784

Diabaté, Samuel Tiéfolo, Swingedouw, Didier, Hirschi, Joël J.-M., Duchez, Aurélie, Leadbitter, Philip J., Haigh, Ivan D. and McCarthy, Gerard (2021) Western boundary circulation and coastal sea-level variability in Northern Hemisphere oceans. Ocean Science, 17. pp. 1449-1471. ISSN 1812-0784

McCarthy, Gerard, Dempsey, Rebecca, Parnell, Andrew and MacCarron, Pádraig (2020) Just a 'bad flu'? How death notices debunk that Covid-19 myth. RTE news Brainstorm 28/09/2020.

McCarthy, Gerard and MacCarron, Pádraig (2020) What death notices tell us about the coronavirus across Ireland. RTE news Brainstorm 7/05/2020.

McCarthy, Gerard, Jackson, L.C., Cunningham, S.A., Holiday, N.P., Smeed, D.A. and Stevens, D.P. (2020) Effects of climate change on the Atlantic Heat Conveyor relevant to the UK. Marine Climate change Impact partnership. pp. 190-207.

Bryden, Harry L., Johns, William E., King, Brian A., McCarthy, Gerard, McDonagh, Elaine L., Moat, Bengamin I. and Smeed, David A. (2020) Reduction in Ocean Heat Transport at 26°N since 2008 Cools the Eastern Subpolar Gyre of the North Atlantic Ocean. Journal of Climate, 33. pp. 1677-1689. ISSN 0894-8755

McCarthy, Gerard, Brown, P. J., Flagg, C. N., Goni, G., Houpert, L., Hughes, C. W., Hummels, R., Inall, M., Jochumsen, K., Larsen, K. M. H., Lherminier, P., Meinen, C. S., Moat, B. I., Rayner, D., Rhein, M., Roessler, A., Schmid, C. and Smeed, D. A. (2020) Sustainable Observations of the AMOC: Methodology and Technology. Reviews of Geophysics, 58 (1). ISSN 8755-1209

Frajka-Williams, Eleanor, Ansorge, Isabelle J., Baehr, Johanna, Bryden, Harry L., Chidichimo, Maria Paz, Cunningham, Stuart A., Danabasoglu, Gokhan, Dong, Shenfu, Donohue, Kathleen A., Elipot, Shane, Heimbach, Patrick, Holliday, N. Penny, Hummels, Rebecca, Jackson, Laura C., Karstensen, Johannes, Lankhorst, Mathhias, Le Bras, Isabela A., Lozier, Susan, McDonagh, Elaine L., Meinen, Christopher S., Mercier, Herlé, Moat, Bengamin I., Perez, Renellys C., Piecuch, Christopher G., Rhein, Monica, Srokosz, Meric A., Trenberth, Kevin E., Bacon, Sheldon, Forget, Gael, Goni, Gustavo, Kieke, Dagmar, Koelling, Jannes, Lamont, Tarron, McCarthy, Gerard, Mertens, Christian, Send, Uwe, Smeed, David A., Speich, Sabrina, van den Berg, Marcel, Volkov, Denis and Wilson, Chris (2019) Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: Observed Transport and Variability. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6. p. 260. ISSN 2296-7745

Murphy, Conor, Wilby, Robert L., Matthews, Tom K.R., Thorne, Peter, Broderick, Ciaran, Fealy, Rowan, Hall, Julia, Harrigan, Shaun, Jones, Phil D., McCarthy, Gerard, MacDonald, Neil, Noone, Simon and Ryan, Ciara (2019) Multi-century trends to wetter winters and drier summers in the England and Wales precipitation series explained by observational and sampling bias in early records. International Journal of Climatology, 40. pp. 610-619. ISSN 0899-8418

Moat, B.I., Sinha, B., Josey, Simon A., Robson, J., Ortega, P., Sévellec, F., Holliday, N.P., McCarthy, Gerard, New, A.L. and Hirschi, Joël J.-M. (2019) Insights into decadal North Atlantic sea surface temperature and ocean heat content variability from an eddy-permitting coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 32 (18). pp. 6137-6161. ISSN 0894-8755

Little, Christopher M, Hu, Aixue, Hughes, Chris W., McCarthy, Gerard, Piecuch, Christopher G., Ponte, Rui M. and Thomas, Matthew D. (2019) The Relationship between United States East Coast Sea Level and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: a Review. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 124 (1). pp. 6435-6438. ISSN 2169-9291

Worthington, Emma, Frajka‐Williams, Eleanor and McCarthy, Gerard (2018) Estimating the Deep Overturning Transport Variability at 26°N Using Bottom Pressure Recorders. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 124 (1). pp. 335-348. ISSN 2169-9291

McCarthy, Gerard, Joyce, Terrence M. and Josey, Simon A. (2018) Gulf Stream Variability in the Context of Quasi‐Decadal and Multidecadal Atlantic Climate Variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (20). 11,257-11,264. ISSN 0094-8276

Robson, Jon, Sutton, Rowan T, Archibald, Alex, Cooper, Fenwick, Christensen, Matthew, Gray, Lesley J., Holliday, N. Penny, Macintosh, Claire, McMillan, Malcom, Moat, Ben, Russo, Maria, Tilling, Rachel, Carslaw, Ken, Desbruyères, Damien, Embury, Owen, Feltham, Daniel L., Grosvenor, Daniel P., Josey, Simon, King, Brian, Lewis, Alistair, McCarthy, Gerard, Merchant, Chris, New, Adrian L., O'Reilly, Christopher H., Osprey, Scott M., Readhead, Katie, Scaife, Adam A., Shepherd, Andrew, Sinha, Bablu, Smeed, David A., Smith, Doug, Ridout, Andrew, Woolings, Tim and Yang, Mingxi (2018) Recent multivariate changes in the North Atlantic climate system, with a focus on 2005–2016. International Journal of Climatology, 38 (14). pp. 5050-5076. ISSN 1097-0088

Sutton, R.T., McCarthy, Gerard, Robson, James, Sinha, B., Archibald, A. and Gray, L.J. (2018) Atlantic Multi-decadal Variability and the UK ACSIS programme. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99. pp. 415-426. ISSN 1520-0477

Smeed, David A., Josey, S.A., Beaulieu, Claudie, Johns, W.E., Moat, Ben I., Frajka-Williams, Eleanor, Rayner, Darren, Meinen, Christopher S., Baringer, Molly O., Bryden, Harry L. and McCarthy, Gerard (2018) The North Atlantic Ocean is in a state of reduced overturning. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (3). pp. 1527-1533. ISSN 0094-8276

Murphy, Conor, Broderick, Ciaran, Burt, Timothy P., Curley, Mary, Duffy, Catriona, Hall, Julia, Harrigan, Shaun, Matthews, Tom K.R., Mcdonald, Neil, McCarthy, Gerard, McCarthy, Mark P., Mullan, Donal, Noone, Simon, Osborn, Timothy J., Ryan, Ciara, Sweeney, John, Thorne, Peter, Walsh, Seamus and Wilby, Robert L. (2018) A 305-year continuous monthly rainfall series for the island of Ireland (1711–2016). Climate of the Past, 14. pp. 413-440. ISSN 1814-9332

Sutton, R.T., McCarthy, Gerard, Robson, J., Sinha, B., Archibald, A. and Gray, L.J. (2018) Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the U.K. ACSIS Program. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS). pp. 415-425. ISSN 0003-0007

McCarthy, Gerard and Thorne, Peter (2018) Atlantic slowdown boosts surface warming. Nature, 559. pp. 340-341. ISSN 1476-4687

Matthews, Tom K.R., Murphy, Conor, McCarthy, Gerard, Broderick, Ciaran and Wilby, Robert L. (2018) Super Storm Desmond: a process-based assessment. Environmental Research Letters, 13 (014024). ISSN 1748-9326

Sinha, Bablu, Smeed, David A., McCarthy, Gerard, Moat, Bengamin I., Josey, Simon A., Hirschi, Joël J.M., Frajka-Williams, Eleanor, Blaker, Adam T., Rayner, Darren and Madec, Gurvan (2017) The accuracy of estimates of the overturning circulation from basin-wide mooring arrays. Progress in Oceanography, 160. pp. 101-123. ISSN 0079-6611

McCarthy, Gerard, Smeed, David A., Cunningham, Stuart A. and Roberts, Christopher D. (2017) Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Project Report. Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership.

Baringer, M.O., Smeed, D.A., Willis, J., Lankhorst, M., Hobbs, W.R., Dong, S., McCarthy, Gerard, Rayner, D., Johns, W.E. and Goni, G. (2017) Global Oceans: Meridional overturning circulation observations in the North Atlantic Ocean. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (8). pp. 84-87. ISSN 1520-0477

McCarthy, Gerard, Menary, M. B., Mecking, J. V., Moat, B. I., Johns, W. E., Andrews, B., Rayner, D. and Smeed, D. A. (2017) The importance of deep, basinwide measurements in optimized Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation observing arrays. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 122. pp. 1808-1826. ISSN 2169-9291

Duchez, Aurélie, Frajka-Williams, Eleanor, Josey, Simon A., Evans, Dafydd G., Grist, Jeremy P., Marsh, Robert, McCarthy, Gerard, Sinha, Bablu, Berry, David I. and Hirschi, Joël J.-M. (2016) Drivers of exceptionally cold North Atlantic Ocean temperatures and their link to the 2015 European heat wave. Environmental Research Letters, 11 (7). 074004. ISSN 1748-9326

Moat, Bengamin I., Josey, Simon, Sinha, Bablu, Blaker, Adam, Smeed, David A., McCarthy, Gerard, Johns, William, Hirschi, Joel J.-M., Frajka‐Williams, Eleanor, Rayner, Darren, Duchez, Aurelie and Coward, Andrew (2016) Major Variations in Subtropical North Atlantic Heat Transport at Short Timescales: Causes and Consequences. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121 (5). pp. 3237-3249. ISSN 2169-9291

Frajka-Williams, Eleanor, Meinen, Christopher S., Johns, W.E., Smeed, David A., Duchez, A., Lawrence, A.J., Cuthbertson, D.A., McCarthy, Gerard, Bryden, H.L., Baringer, M.O., Moat, B. I. and Rayner, D. (2016) Compensation between meridional flow components of the Atlantic MOC at 26° N. Ocean Science, 12 (2). pp. 481-493. ISSN 1812-0784

McDonagh, Elaine L., King, Brian A., Bryden, Harry B., Courtois, Peggy, Szuts, Zoltan, Baringer, Molly, Cunningham, Stuart A., Atkinson, Chris and McCarthy, Gerard (2015) Continuous Estimate of Atlantic Oceanic Freshwater Flux at 26.5°N. Journal of Climate, 28. pp. 8888-8906. ISSN 0894-8755

Perez-Hernandez, M.D., McCarthy, Gerard, Velez-Belchi, P., Smeed, David A., Fraile-Nuez, E. and Hernández‐Guerra, A. (2015) The Canary Basin contribution to the seasonal cycle of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26°N. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 120 (11). pp. 7237-7252. ISSN 2169-9291

McCarthy, Gerard, Gleeson, E. and Walsh, S. (2015) The influence of ocean variations on the climate of Ireland. Weather, 70 (8). pp. 242-245. ISSN 1477-8696

McCarthy, Gerard, Haigh, Ivan D., Hirschi, Joël J.-M., Grist, Jeremy P. and Smeed, David A. (2015) Ocean impact on decadal Atlantic climate variability revealed by sea-level observations. Nature, 521. pp. 508-510. ISSN 1476-4687

Blaker, Adam T., Hirschi, Joël J.-M., McCarthy, Gerard, Sinha, Bablu, Taws, Sarah, Marsh, Robert, Coward, Andrew and de Cuevas, Beverly (2015) Historical analogues of the recent extreme minima observed in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26°N. Climate Dynamics, 44 (1-2). pp. 457-473. ISSN 1432-0894

McCarthy, Gerard, Smeed, David A., Johns, William E., Frajka-Williams, Eleanor, Moat, Bengamin I., Rayner, Drren, Baringer, Molly O., Meinen, Christopher S., Collins, J. and Bryden, Harry L. (2015) Measuring the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26°N. Progress in Oceanography, 103. pp. 91-111. ISSN 0079-6611

Duchez, Aurelie, Hirschi, Joel J.-M., Cunningham, Stuart A., Blaker, Adam T., Bryden, H. L., de Cuevas, Beverly, Atkinson, Chris P., McCarthy, Gerard, Frajka-Williams, Eleanor, Rayner, Darren, Smeed, David A. and Mizielinski, M.S. (2014) A new index for the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26°N. Journal of Climate, 27. pp. 6439-6455. ISSN 0894-8755

Bryden, H.L., King, Brian A., McCarthy, Gerard and McDonagh, E.L. (2014) Impact of a 30% reduction in Atlantic meridional overturning during 2009–2010. Ocean Science, 10 (4). pp. 683-691. ISSN 1812-0784,

Smeed, David A., McCarthy, Gerard, Cunningham, Stuart A., Frajka-Williams, Eleanor, Rayner, Darren, Johns, W. E., Meinen, Christopher S., Baringer, Molly O., Moat, Bengamin I., Duchez, A. and Bryden, H.L. (2014) Observed decline of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation 2004–2012. Ocean Science, 10 (1). pp. 29-38. ISSN 1812-0784

Cunningham, Stuart A., Roberts, Christopher D., Frajka‐Williams, Eleanor, Johns, William E., Hobbs, Will, Palmer, Matthew D., Rayner, Darren, Smeed, David A. and McCarthy, Gerard (2013) Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation slowdown cooled the subtropical ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (23). pp. 6202-6207. ISSN 0094-8276

Roberts, C.D., Waters, J., Peterson, K.A., Palmer, M.D., McCarthy, Gerard, Frajka-Williams, Eleanor, Haines, K., Lea, D.J., Martin, M.J., Storkey, D., Blockley, E.W. and Zuo, H. (2013) Atmosphere drives recent interannual variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (19). pp. 5164-5171. ISSN 0094-8276

McCarthy, Gerard, Frajka‐Williams, Eleanor, Johns, William E., Baringer, Molly O., Meinen, Christopher S., Bryden, H.L., Rayner, Darren, Duchez, A., Roberts, C. and Cunningham, Stuart A. (2012) Observed interannual variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (19). L19609. ISSN 0094-8276

McCarthy, Gerard, King, B.A., Cipollini, P., McDonagh, E.L., Blundell, J.R. and Biastoch, Arne (2012) On the sub‐decadal variability of South Atlantic Antarctic Intermediate Water. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (10). L10605. ISSN 0094-8276

Bryden, Harry L., King, Brian A. and McCarthy, Gerard (2011) South Atlantic overturning circulation at 24°S. Journal of Marine Research, 69 (1). pp. 38-55. ISSN 0022-2402

McCarthy, Gerard, McDonagh, Elaine and King, Brian (2011) Decadal variability of thermocline and intermediate waters at 24 S in the South Atlantic. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 41 (1). pp. 157-165. ISSN 0022-3670